Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.192371 0.219024 0.247636 0.280589 0.317446 0.357351 0.403776
2025-12-21 0.155367 0.190687 0.231156 0.280786 0.339830 0.407640 0.491215
2025-12-28 0.131210 0.171883 0.221177 0.284947 0.364854 0.461224 0.585761
2026-01-04 0.114284 0.158686 0.215247 0.291933 0.392450 0.518884 0.688994
2026-01-11 0.099352 0.145553 0.207148 0.294289 0.413223 0.568526 0.785047
2026-01-18 0.088455 0.136111 0.202336 0.299693 0.437463 0.623436 0.890975
2026-01-25 0.080327 0.129325 0.200057 0.307734 0.465164 0.684092 1.007958
2026-02-01 0.071093 0.119617 0.192293 0.306706 0.479283 0.726140 1.101061
2026-02-08 0.063225 0.110946 0.184963 0.305233 0.492015 0.766292 1.193126
2026-02-15 0.056516 0.103252 0.178200 0.303690 0.504003 0.805462 1.285354
2026-02-22 0.052398 0.099323 0.176895 0.310351 0.528709 0.864624 1.410273
2026-03-01 0.047538 0.093511 0.171854 0.310322 0.542483 0.907435 1.512094
2026-03-08 0.043009 0.087904 0.166841 0.310263 0.556779 0.952863 1.622316
2026-03-15 0.039105 0.082976 0.162492 0.310877 0.572093 1.000676 1.738949
2026-03-22 0.036238 0.079666 0.160670 0.315664 0.594663 1.061401 1.879643
2026-03-29 0.034058 0.077438 0.160579 0.323454 0.622819 1.132780 2.041499
2026-04-05 0.031452 0.074015 0.157872 0.326111 0.641897 1.189686 2.181845
2026-04-12 0.029482 0.071679 0.157009 0.332079 0.667203 1.258446 2.345621
2026-04-19 0.027990 0.070191 0.157655 0.340921 0.698249 1.338683 2.532986
2026-04-26 0.025640 0.066493 0.153444 0.339808 0.710397 1.385857 2.664443
2026-05-03 0.023480 0.062950 0.149194 0.338200 0.721345 1.431221 2.794591
2026-05-10 0.021524 0.059638 0.145098 0.336511 0.731890 1.476184 2.925890
2026-05-17 0.020461 0.058366 0.145315 0.343819 0.760624 1.556190 3.124776